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    Flatten the curve: Empirical evidence on how non-pharmaceutical interventions substituted pharmaceutical treatments during COVID-19 pandemic

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    Author
    Luo, Weiyu
    Guo, Wei
    Hu, Songhua
    Yang, Mofeng
    Hu, Xinyuan
    Xiong, Chenfeng
    Date
    2021-10-11
    Journal
    PLoS ONE
    Publisher
    Public Library of Science
    Type
    Article
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    See at
    https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0258379
    Abstract
    During the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, Non-Pharmaceutical and Pharmaceutical treatments were alternative strategies for governments to intervene. Though many of these intervention methods proved to be effective to stop the spread of COVID-19, i.e., lockdown and curfew, they also posed risk to the economy; in such a scenario, an analysis on how to strike a balance becomes urgent. Our research leverages the mobility big data from the University of Maryland COVID-19 Impact Analysis Platform and employs the Generalized Additive Model (GAM), to understand how the social demographic variables, NPTs (Non-Pharmaceutical Treatments) and PTs (Pharmaceutical Treatments) affect the New Death Rate (NDR) at county-level. We also portray the mutual and interactive effects of NPTs and PTs on NDR. Our results show that there exists a specific usage rate of PTs where its marginal effect starts to suppress the NDR growth, and this specific rate can be reduced through implementing the NPTs. Copyright: © 2021 Luo et al.
    Keyword
    new death rate (NDR)
    non-pharmaceutical interventions
    pharmaceutical treatments
    COVID-19--prevention & control
    Identifier to cite or link to this item
    http://hdl.handle.net/10713/16921
    ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
    10.1371/journal.pone.0258379
    Scopus Count
    Collections
    UMB Coronavirus Publications
    UMB Open Access Articles

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