• Login
    View Item 
    •   UMB Digital Archive
    • UMB Open Access Articles
    • UMB Coronavirus Publications
    • View Item
    •   UMB Digital Archive
    • UMB Open Access Articles
    • UMB Coronavirus Publications
    • View Item
    JavaScript is disabled for your browser. Some features of this site may not work without it.

    Browse

    All of UMB Digital ArchiveCommunitiesPublication DateAuthorsTitlesSubjectsThis CollectionPublication DateAuthorsTitlesSubjects

    My Account

    LoginRegister

    Statistics

    Display statistics

    Modelling microbial infection to address global health challenges

    • CSV
    • RefMan
    • EndNote
    • BibTex
    • RefWorks
    Author
    Fitzpatrick, M.C.
    Bauch, C.T.
    Townsend, J.P.
    Date
    2019
    Journal
    Nature Microbiology
    Publisher
    Nature Publishing Group
    Type
    Article
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    See at
    https://doi.org/10.1038/s41564-019-0565-8
    Abstract
    The continued growth of the world's population and increased interconnectivity heighten the risk that infectious diseases pose for human health worldwide. Epidemiological modelling is a tool that can be used to mitigate this risk by predicting disease spread or quantifying the impact of different intervention strategies on disease transmission dynamics. We illustrate how four decades of methodological advances and improved data quality have facilitated the contribution of modelling to address global health challenges, exemplified by models for the HIV crisis, emerging pathogens and pandemic preparedness. Throughout, we discuss the importance of designing a model that is appropriate to the research question and the available data. We highlight pitfalls that can arise in model development, validation and interpretation. Close collaboration between empiricists and modellers continues to improve the accuracy of predictions and the optimization of models for public health decision-making.
    Sponsors
    National Institutes of Health, NIH: U01 GM087719, K01 AI141576; Natural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of Canada, NSERC; Notsew Orm Sands Foundation
    Keyword
    epidemiological modelling
    Global Health
    Communicable Diseases
    Identifier to cite or link to this item
    https://www.scopus.com/inward/record.uri?eid=2-s2.0-85072532637&doi=10.1038%2fs41564-019-0565-8&partnerID=40&md5=79c2d44881de12b98f6f2562f1453e6c; http://hdl.handle.net/10713/12390
    ae974a485f413a2113503eed53cd6c53
    10.1038/s41564-019-0565-8
    Scopus Count
    Collections
    UMB Coronavirus Publications

    entitlement

    Related articles

    • Major factors affecting the emergence and re-emergence of infectious diseases.
    • Authors: Church DL
    • Issue date: 2004 Sep
    • Modeling infectious disease dynamics in the complex landscape of global health.
    • Authors: Heesterbeek H, Anderson RM, Andreasen V, Bansal S, De Angelis D, Dye C, Eames KT, Edmunds WJ, Frost SD, Funk S, Hollingsworth TD, House T, Isham V, Klepac P, Lessler J, Lloyd-Smith JO, Metcalf CJ, Mollison D, Pellis L, Pulliam JR, Roberts MG, Viboud C, Isaac Newton Institute IDD Collaboration.
    • Issue date: 2015 Mar 13
    • Emerging, evolving, and established infectious diseases and interventions.
    • Authors: Halloran ME, Longini IM Jr
    • Issue date: 2014 Sep 12
    • Emerging infectious diseases and pandemic potential: status quo and reducing risk of global spread.
    • Authors: McCloskey B, Dar O, Zumla A, Heymann DL
    • Issue date: 2014 Oct
    • Synergistic China-US Ecological Research is Essential for Global Emerging Infectious Disease Preparedness.
    • Authors: Smiley Evans T, Shi Z, Boots M, Liu W, Olival KJ, Xiao X, Vandewoude S, Brown H, Chen JL, Civitello DJ, Escobar L, Grohn Y, Li H, Lips K, Liu Q, Lu J, Martínez-López B, Shi J, Shi X, Xu B, Yuan L, Zhu G, Getz WM
    • Issue date: 2020 Mar
    DSpace software (copyright © 2002 - 2022)  DuraSpace
    Quick Guide | Policies | Contact Us | UMB Health Sciences & Human Services Library
    Open Repository is a service operated by 
    Atmire NV
     

    Export search results

    The export option will allow you to export the current search results of the entered query to a file. Different formats are available for download. To export the items, click on the button corresponding with the preferred download format.

    By default, clicking on the export buttons will result in a download of the allowed maximum amount of items.

    To select a subset of the search results, click "Selective Export" button and make a selection of the items you want to export. The amount of items that can be exported at once is similarly restricted as the full export.

    After making a selection, click one of the export format buttons. The amount of items that will be exported is indicated in the bubble next to export format.